Crypto Prediction Markets
Crypto on prediction markets — ETF approvals, price targets, regulation, and protocol milestones. Trade the outcomes themselves with leverage up to 5x.
New to leveraging Crypto markets? Start with How to Trade SEC & ETF Odds on Polymarket With Leverage.
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Predict.fun's launch valuation across eleven thresholds, with $500M at 52.0% marking the median. Understanding the catalyst calendar determines when to position.
CryptoPuffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Puffpaw's VAPE token at 43.5% to clear $50M FDV on launch day. Base-rate analysis of the odds structure reveals what the crowd expects and where leverage opportunities emerge.
CryptoExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
The 30-point probability cliff between Extended's $150M and $300M FDV thresholds reveals deep market uncertainty. We examine the bull and bear cases to identify where mispricing may exist.
CryptoVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Variational's launch FDV across ten thresholds. Understanding the resolution mechanics matters more than the valuation itself for leveraged positions.
CryptoStandX FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
How StandX's FDV odds compare to Variational, GRVT, Extended, and PuffPaw. Cross-market spreads, paired position strategies, and what the relative pricing reveals.
CryptoGRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price GRVT's post-launch FDV with 87% confidence above $200M but only 24% above $500M. Detailed leverage mechanics for trading this eight-threshold probability curve.
CryptoWill Base launch a token by ___ Odds & Analysis
The Base token launch market offers three distinct timeframes with dramatically different leverage profiles. Understanding liquidation distances, interest costs, and exit triggers separates profitable traders from those who get stopped out on volatility.
CryptoBase FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Base token FDV at 60.5% odds above $2 billion one day after launch. A catalyst-by-catalyst breakdown of the dated calendar that will reprice these markets.
CryptoOKX IPO in 2026 Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price OKX IPO at just 9% for 2026. Explore what this extreme probability structure reveals about information concentration, spread dynamics, and leveraged trading opportunities.
CryptoInk FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Ink at 32% probability to exceed $500 million FDV and 16% for $1 billion on launch day. Base rate analysis reveals what historical L2 launches tell us about these odds.
CryptoWill Tempo launch a token by ___ Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Tempo's token launch at 6.5% by year-end 2026. Base-rate analysis of historical crypto token launches reveals whether this reflects reality or opportunity.
CryptoFelix FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Before betting on Felix protocol FDV thresholds, understand the resolution mechanics that actually determine payouts. Settlement wording can defeat correct directional calls.
CryptoStablecoins depeg before 2027 Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price USDC depeg at 1.4% with $267K volume versus USDe at 5.5% with just $8.5K. The 30x volume ratio reveals where informed capital concentrates and what the spread implies for leveraged traders.
CryptoOpensea FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price OpenSea's SEA token launch with extreme skepticism, assigning just 20.5% odds of exceeding $500M FDV and only 13.5% for $1B. With over $6.2 million in volume, here is what the odds reveal about leverage trading opportunities.
CryptoMetamask FDV above ___ one day after launch Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price MetaMask FDV above $100M at just 14% odds, with higher thresholds even lower. Analysis of the MASK token launch market and leverage trading strategies.
CryptoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026 Odds & Analysis
The prediction market for Bitcoin hitting $150,000 by December 31, 2026 trades at just 3.8% Yes. With Bitcoin around $66,000 and requiring a 127% rally in five months, the crowd has priced this as a long shot. But for leverage traders, the asymmetric setup offers opportunity on both sides.
CryptoBitcoin all time high by ___ Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets give Bitcoin only a 5.9% chance of reclaiming its October 2025 all-time high of $126,198 by year-end 2026. The September deadline trades even lower at 1.6%. This analysis breaks down what the odds mean for leverage traders and identifies the catalysts that could shift probabilities.
CryptoWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027 Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets currently price the probability of China unbanning Bitcoin by 2027 at just 2.6%, reflecting Beijing's February 2026 crackdown expansion and the digital yuan's strategic priority.
CryptoSatoshi's identity be proven by... Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets assign just 3.6% probability to Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto being identified by end of 2026, despite a major NYT investigation and documentary claims.
CryptoEthereum all time high by ___ Odds & Analysis
Prediction markets price Ethereum reaching a new all-time high at just 5% for December 2026 and 1.2% for September. With ETH needing to rally over 150% from current levels to surpass its August 2025 peak of $4,946, the market reflects deep skepticism despite upcoming catalysts like the Glamsterdam upgrade and recent institutional ETF inflows.
CryptoClarity Act signed into law in 2026 Odds & Analysis
The Clarity Act prediction market prices Yes at 31.5% as three Senate disputes over ethics, stablecoin yield, and law enforcement provisions block the 60 votes needed before August recess.
CryptoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026 Odds & Analysis
The prediction market prices a 6.45% chance that Satoshi Nakamoto's $85 billion in dormant Bitcoin will show any outflow in 2026 - a bet on whether the most valuable untouched treasure in crypto history finally moves.
CryptoWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July Odds & Analysis
Prediction market traders price Bitcoin at 74.5% to reach $65,000 and just 26.5% to hit $70,000 in July 2026. With the Fed meeting July 28-29 and ETF outflows reversing, here is what the odds say about where BTC heads next.
GuideBTC 5-Min Markets: Leverage Trading on Polymarket
The ~7% entry fee on PredMart leverage gets charged upfront for positions that live only minutes - often more than the expected market move. Here is how to calculate whether leverage makes sense on Polymarket's 5- and 15-minute BTC markets.
GuideHow to Trade Crypto Listing Odds on Polymarket With Leverage
Learn how to trade crypto exchange listing prediction markets, from researching listing probability to managing leverage and timing entries on high-volatility binary events.
GuideHow to Trade SEC & ETF Odds on Polymarket With Leverage
Trade SEC enforcement actions, ETF approvals, and crypto policy outcomes on prediction markets. Learn how regulatory contracts work, what drives price movements, and strategies for trading crypto regulation events in 2026.