Economics Prediction Markets

Economics on prediction markets — Fed decisions, CPI and inflation prints, jobs reports, and recession calls. Scheduled catalysts with sharp repricings you can trade with leverage up to 5x.

New to leveraging Economics markets? Start with Leverage Trading on Economic Prediction Markets.

Economics

US Recession 2026 Odds & Leverage Trading

Prediction markets price US recession probability at 10% for 2026. Analysis covers GDP data, tariff drag, Fed policy, and what would trigger a contraction.

· 12 min read

Economics

June 2026 US Inflation Odds & Leverage Trading

Prediction market traders are betting heavily that June 2026 annual inflation will clock in at 3.8%, a sharp drop from May's 4.2% reading. The Iran ceasefire and falling gasoline prices have reshaped expectations ahead of the July 14 CPI release.

· 10 min

Guide

How to Trade Weather Markets on Polymarket With Leverage

Trade weather prediction markets on Polymarket with up to 5x leverage through PredMart. Learn how to analyze hurricane forecasts, temperature records, and seasonal anomalies while managing liquidation risk on leveraged weather positions.

· 7 min read

Guide

Is Leverage Profitable on Polymarket?

Break-even win rate rises 8-15% when using leverage on prediction markets due to entry fees, interest, and liquidation risk. Learn the exact math to calculate your required accuracy before trading.

· 7 min read

Guide

Fed Rate Decisions: Leverage Trading on Polymarket

Trade Federal Reserve rate decision markets on Polymarket with up to 5x leverage using PredMart. Learn how Fed markets work, liquidation thresholds, costs, and timing strategies for leveraged FOMC trades.

· 7 min read

Economics

Fed July 2026 Decision Odds & Leverage Trading

prediction market prices an 82% chance the Fed holds rates in July 2026, with hike odds rising to 17% after Chair Warsh's hawkish debut and elevated inflation readings.

· 11 min read

Analysis

Fed Rate Hike 2026 Odds & Leverage Trading

The market has largely priced that the Fed hikes in 2026 - the live question is which meeting. A leverage-focused look at the timing race and the asymmetric July and No-Hike bets.

· 9 min read

Analysis

Fed Rate End of 2026 Odds & Leverage Trading

The June FOMC meeting reshuffled Fed rate expectations for year-end 2026, creating asymmetric leverage opportunities across the entire probability spectrum.

· 9 min read

Analysis

Fed Rate Cuts 2026 Odds & Leverage Trading

The Iran war energy shock and Chair Warsh's hawkish pivot have driven zero-cut odds to 81% - here is how leverage traders are positioning for the next FOMC catalyst.

· 10 min read