2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Current odds

• Jannik Sinner — 59.0%
• Novak Djokovic — 10.3%
• Alexander Zverev — 7.2%
• Ben Shelton — 3.7%
• Taylor Fritz — 3.3%
• Frances Tiafoe — 3.3%
• Daniil Medvedev — 1.8%
• Jakub Menšík — 1.5%
• Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — 1.2%
• Jiří Lehečka — 1.2%
• Alex de Minaur — 1.1%
• Francisco Cerúndolo — 1.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: The 2026 Wimbledon men's singles market on Polymarket positions Jannik Sinner as the heavy favorite following Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal due to a wrist injury. The defending champion skipped all grass warm-up events to train directly at SW19, while Novak Djokovic chases a historic eighth title despite shoulder concerns. The draw places Sinner and Djokovic in the same half, setting up a potential semifinal collision that could define the tournament. read the full analysis