Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Current odds

• December 31 — 17.0%
• September 30 — 5.5%
• July 31 — 1.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: December 31 leads the "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" market, ahead of September 30 and July 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.