Alaska Senate Election Winner

Current odds

• Mary Peltola — 59.5%
• Dan Sullivan — 41.5%
• Ann Diener — 0.1%
• Richard Grayson — 0.1%
• Dustin Darden — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

About this market: Peltola leads the "Alaska Senate Election Winner" market, ahead of Sullivan and Diener. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.