Alaska Senate Election Winner

Current odds

• Mary Peltola — 63.5%
• Sen. Dan Sullivan — 36.5%
• Dustin Darden — 0.1%
• Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. — 0.1%
• Richard Grayson — 0.1%
• Ann Diener — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

About this market: Alaska Senate Election Winner? Traders price this politics market continuously, and the odds move as new information lands. Our analysis breaks down how the market is priced, what would have to change for it to move, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis