Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Current odds

• December 31, 2028 — 21.5%
• December 31, 2027 — 12.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: December 31, 2028 leads the "Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?" market, ahead of December 31, 2027. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.