Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Current odds

• Javier Milei — 52.5%
• Axel Kicillof — 35.0%
• Sergio Massa — 7.6%
• Dante Gebel — 2.9%
• Myriam Bregman — 2.1%
• Juan Grabois — 0.9%
• Victoria Villarruel — 0.3%
• Mauricio Macri — 0.3%
• Juan Schiaretti — 0.2%
• Esteban Bullrich — 0.2%
• Facundo Manes — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

About this market: Argentina Presidential Election Winner? Traders price this politics market continuously, and the odds move as new information lands. Our analysis breaks down how the market is priced, what would have to change for it to move, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis