Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Current odds

• Javier Milei — 48.5%
• Axel Kicillof — 47.5%
• Dante Gebel — 2.4%
• Sergio Massa — 1.2%
• Mauricio Macri — 0.9%
• Myriam Bregman — 0.9%
• Juan Grabois — 0.7%
• Victoria Villarruel — 0.4%
• Esteban Bullrich — 0.3%
• Juan Schiaretti — 0.3%
• Facundo Manes — 0.3%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

About this market: Milei leads the "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" market, ahead of Kicillof and Gebel. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.