Bank of Russia decision in July?

Current odds

• Decrease — 62.5%
• No Change — 36.5%
• Increase — 1.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

About this market: Decrease leads the "Bank of Russia decision in July?" market, ahead of Change and Increase. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.