Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

About this market: The Clarity Act market tracks whether H.R.3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, gets signed into law by December 31, 2026. This landmark crypto legislation would grant the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets while establishing a decentralization test for token classification. The bill passed the House in July 2025 but faces Senate hurdles over presidential ethics provisions and stablecoin yield disputes. read the full analysis