Colombia Presidential Election

Current odds

• Abelardo de la Espriella — 91.0%
• Iván Cepeda Castro — 11.0%
• Vicky Dávila (IND) — 0.1%
• Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) — 0.1%
• Claudia López (IND) — 0.1%
• David Luna Sánchez (IND) — 0.1%
• Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND) — 0.1%
• Gustavo Bolívar (HC) — 0.1%
• Sergio Fajardo (DC) — 0.1%
• Juan Manuel Galán (NL) — 0.1%
• Mauricio Cárdenas — 0.1%
• Daniel Quintero — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

About this market: Espriella leads the Colombia Presidential Election market, ahead of Castro and (IND). Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.