Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Current odds

• Gavin Newsom — 23.9%
• Jon Ossoff — 9.7%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 9.1%
• Kamala Harris — 7.2%
• Josh Shapiro — 5.0%
• Pete Buttigieg — 4.4%
• Jon Stewart — 2.8%
• Andy Beshear — 2.5%
• Graham Platner — 2.1%
• Ro Khanna — 1.8%
• James Talarico — 1.7%
• Rahm Emanuel — 1.7%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market: The 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee market is where traders price out who the party will run for president — and right now it's anyone's race. No candidate commands a majority, the front-runners keep reshuffling, and the real test arrives with the 2026 midterms. Take a leveraged position on any candidate with up to 5x leverage, or read the full analysis for who's rising, who's fading, and where the edge is.