Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Current odds

• 280-299 — 18.4%
• 300-319 — 17.2%
• 320-339 — 13.8%
• 260-279 — 13.6%
• 340-359 — 11.3%
• 360-379 — 8.6%
• 240-259 — 6.2%
• 380-399 — 5.9%
• 400-419 — 2.4%
• 420-439 — 1.2%
• 220-239 — 0.9%
• 500+ — 0.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

About this market: 280-299 leads the "Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?" market, ahead of 300-319 and 320-339. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.