Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Current odds

• 160-179 — 32.5%
• 140-159 — 26.5%
• 180-199 — 19.5%
• 200-219 — 11.5%
• 120-139 — 7.5%
• 220-239 — 3.1%
• 240-259 — 0.9%
• 100-119 — 0.5%
• 260-279 — 0.3%
• 280-299 — 0.1%
• 420-439 — 0.1%
• 460-479 — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

About this market: 160-179 leads the "Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?" market, ahead of 140-159 and 180-199. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.