Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Current odds

• 260-279 — 22.5%
• 240-259 — 20.5%
• 280-299 — 19.2%
• 300-319 — 11.8%
• 320-339 — 6.6%
• 200-219 — 4.5%
• 340-359 — 2.2%
• 180-199 — 1.0%
• 360-379 — 0.8%
• 380-399 — 0.5%
• 160-179 — 0.1%
• 420-439 — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

About this market: 260-279 leads the "Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?" market, ahead of 240-259 and 280-299. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.