Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

Current odds

• 340-359 — 12.3%
• 360-379 — 11.2%
• 300-319 — 10.2%
• 380-399 — 9.6%
• 400-419 — 8.0%
• 500+ — 7.7%
• 280-299 — 7.0%
• 420-439 — 5.9%
• 260-279 — 4.0%
• 460-479 — 3.4%
• 480-499 — 2.9%
• 240-259 — 1.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

About this market: 340-359 leads the "Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?" market, ahead of 360-379 and 300-319. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.