Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Current odds

• “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” — 43.9%
• “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” — 36.1%
• “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” — 14.5%
• “The Daily Show” — 3.4%
• “Saturday Night Live” — 3.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Oliver” leads the "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series" market, ahead of Live!” and Colbert”. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.