France United Left Primary Winner

Current odds

• Canceled — 94.5%
• François Ruffin — 1.5%
• Clémentine Autain — 0.7%
• Marine Tondelier — 0.3%
• Benjamin Lucas-Lundy — 0.2%
• Lydie Massard — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market: Canceled leads the "France United Left Primary Winner" market, ahead of Ruffin and Autain. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.