Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

About this market: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? You can trade either side with leverage up to 5x. Prices update live from the order book, and settlement is non-custodial on-chain.