Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? You can trade either side with leverage up to 5x. Prices update live from the order book, and settlement is non-custodial on-chain.