Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Current odds

• Spider-Man: Brand New Day — 63.0%
• Toy Story 5 — 14.4%
• Avengers: Doomsday — 13.0%
• The Super Mario Galaxy Movie — 4.1%
• The Odyssey — 3.1%
• Dune: Messiah — 0.7%
• Wicked: For Good — 0.6%
• Wuthering Heights — 0.6%
• Jumanji 3 — 0.6%
• Scream 7 — 0.5%
• Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu — 0.5%
• The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping — 0.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

About this market: Hollywood's biggest franchises are battling for the 2026 box office crown. Spider-Man holds the lead heading into summer, but Toy Story 5's record-breaking opening has turned this into a genuine two-horse race. With Avengers: Doomsday waiting in December and Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey arriving in July, traders have multiple windows to position before decisive catalysts hit. For the complete breakdown of price movements, catalyst dates, and leverage setups, read the full analysis.