How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Current odds

• 4.8% — 25.5%
• 5.0% — 11.5%
• 5.2% — 4.1%
• 5.5% — 3.8%
• 5.7% — 2.8%
• 6.0% — 2.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

About this market: 4.8% leads the "How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?" market, ahead of 5.0% and 5.2%. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.