How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Current odds

• 2.5k-5k — 2.8%
• 10k-25k — 1.8%
• 5k-10k — 1.7%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: 2.5k-5k leads the "How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?" market, ahead of 10k-25k and 5k-10k. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.