How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Current odds

• 325–339 — 27.5%
• 340–354 — 26.0%
• 310–324 — 21.6%
• 355+ — 15.5%
• 295–309 — 8.5%
• <280 — 2.1%
• 280–294 — 1.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

About this market: 325–339 leads the "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?" market, ahead of 340–354 and 310–324. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.