How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

Current odds

• 6 — 40.5%
• 7 — 20.5%
• 8 — 12.5%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

About this market: 6 leads the "How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?" market, ahead of 7 and 8. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.