Human moon landing in 2026?

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: Will any human-crewed mission land on the Moon in 2026? This market tracks NASA's Artemis program, SpaceX Starship HLS development, and China's lunar ambitions. Resolution requires a touchdown with humans aboard before December 31, 2026 - regardless of which nation or private entity achieves it. read the full analysis