PredMart > Markets > Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Current odds

  • December 31 — 19.5%
  • July 31 — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: December 31 leads the "Insurrection Act invoked by...?" market, ahead of July 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.

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