Largest Company end of December 2026?

Current odds

• NVIDIA — 72.0%
• Alphabet — 13.0%
• Apple — 9.8%
• SpaceX — 5.9%
• Amazon — 1.4%
• Saudi Aramco — 1.3%
• Microsoft — 0.8%
• Tesla — 0.7%
• Company C — 0.0%
• Company E — 0.0%
• Company G — 0.0%
• Company I — 0.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: This market resolves to whichever company holds the largest market capitalization when December 2026 ends. NVIDIA currently leads by a wide margin, but six months of earnings reports, product launches, and potential regulatory shifts could reshape the standings. Apple's foldable iPhone launch in September and Alphabet's AI momentum make them the primary challengers. For a complete breakdown of the catalyst calendar and how to position with leverage, read the full analysis.