M0-02 Republican Primary Winner

Current odds

• Ann Wagner — 99.0%
• Ryan Sheridan — 0.4%
• Brandon Wilkinson — 0.4%
• Peter Pfeifer — 0.1%
• Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market: Wagner leads the "M0-02 Republican Primary Winner" market, ahead of Sheridan and Wilkinson. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.