Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Current odds

• AfD — 86.5%
• SPD — 14.5%
• Linke — 0.1%
• FDP — 0.1%
• Grüne — 0.1%
• CDU — 0.1%
• FW — 0.1%
• BSW — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

About this market: AfD leads the "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" market, ahead of SPD and Linke. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.