Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

Current odds

• December 31 — 10.5%
• July 31 — 0.4%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

About this market: December 31 leads the "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?" market, ahead of July 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.