MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Current odds

• New York Yankees — 27.0%
• Seattle Mariners — 17.0%
• Tampa Bay Rays — 15.9%
• Texas Rangers — 9.0%
• Chicago White Sox — 6.4%
• Cleveland Guardians — 6.2%
• Toronto Blue Jays — 5.0%
• Boston Red Sox — 4.3%
• Houston Astros — 3.9%
• Detroit Tigers — 3.8%
• Minnesota Twins — 2.0%
• Baltimore Orioles — 1.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: The 2026 American League pennant race features the Yankees as 27% favorites despite trailing the Rays in the standings, with Seattle and Tampa Bay rounding out the top three. The White Sox historic turnaround and the Astros dynasty collapse add intrigue to a wide-open field. Prediction markets offer leveraged trading opportunities as the postseason picture develops. Read the full analysis.