MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Current odds

• Shohei Ohtani — 86.0%
• Pete Crow-Armstrong — 12.4%
• Elly De La Cruz — 0.8%
• Mookie Betts — 0.2%
• Ronald Acuña Jr. — 0.2%
• Francisco Lindor — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: The 2026 NL MVP race is effectively a coronation for Shohei Ohtani, whose unprecedented two-way dominance has him priced at 89.5% in prediction markets. Behind him, Pete Crow-Armstrong's historic June and Kyle Schwarber's league-leading 30 home runs represent the most compelling long-shot value plays. For traders seeking asymmetric returns, the contrarian positions on Ohtani's challengers offer lottery-ticket upside if circumstances create an opening. read the full analysis