NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Current odds

• Cleveland Cavaliers — 30.4%
• Golden State Warriors — 29.5%
• Miami Heat — 21.1%
• Philadelphia 76ers — 15.5%
• Minnesota Timberwolves — 3.4%
• San Antonio Spurs — 1.1%
• Denver Nuggets — 0.9%
• New York Knicks — 0.6%
• Washington Wizards — 0.5%
• Los Angeles Lakers — 0.4%
• Los Angeles Clippers — 0.3%
• Boston Celtics — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

About this market: LeBron James officially informed the Lakers he will play elsewhere for the 2026-27 season, making him the most significant NBA free agent in years. Prediction market odds place Cleveland as the 38.9% favorite to land James, with Philadelphia at 20.6% and Golden State at 17.2% following a reported private meeting between James and Cavaliers owner Dan Gilbert. The decision is expected around NBA Summer League, which begins July 9. read the full analysis