Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

Current odds

• September 30 — 14.1%
• July 31 — 1.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: September 30 leads the "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?" market, ahead of July 31. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.