Next James Bond actor?

Current odds

• Callum Turner — 32.5%
• Jack Lowden — 28.8%
• Robert Pattinson — 14.5%
• Josh O'Connor — 8.8%
• No Bond chosen — 8.2%
• Nicholas Hoult — 3.1%
• Theo James — 1.4%
• Jack Barton — 0.8%
• Tom Francis — 0.8%
• Jacob Elordi — 0.3%
• Aaron Taylor-Johnson — 0.2%
• Henry Cavill — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: This market asks which actor Amazon MGM Studios will officially announce as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, with a separate "No Bond chosen" outcome if no announcement comes in time. With Denis Villeneuve directing and Steven Knight writing Bond 26, prices have moved on podcast tips, co-star remarks and trade-press scoops rather than any official signal. Because every actor contract needs both the right name and a 2026 announcement, screen-test reporting and the year-end deadline are the key repricing windows. For the full breakdown of the contenders, the catalysts and the timing risk, read the full analysis.