Next James Bond actor?

Current odds

• Aaron Taylor-Johnson — 9.8%
• Theo James — 3.1%
• Pierce Brosnan — 2.1%
• Josh O'Connor — 1.5%
• Tom Hardy — 1.3%
• Michael B Jordan — 0.8%
• Paul Mescal — 0.8%
• Henry Cavill — 0.6%
• Timothee Chalamet — 0.6%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Taylor-Johnson leads the "Next James Bond actor?" market, ahead of James and Brosnan. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.