Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Current odds

• Helen Zille — 43.5%
• Herman Mashaba — 6.0%
• Loyiso Masuku — 1.4%
• David Makhura — 0.7%
• Kenny Kunene — 0.4%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Zille leads the "Next Mayor of Johannesburg?" market, ahead of Mashaba and Masuku. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.