Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Current odds

• Abiy Ahmed — 97.1%
• Belete Molla — 1.5%
• Berhanu Nega — 0.9%
• Demeke Mekonnen — 0.9%
• Shimelis Abdisa — 0.5%
• Gedion Timothewos — 0.3%
• Alesa Mengesha — 0.1%
• Adanech Abiebie — 0.1%
• Person D — 0.0%
• Person F — 0.0%
• Person H — 0.0%
• Person J — 0.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Ahmed leads the Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? market, ahead of Molla and Nega. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.