Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Current odds

• Giorgia Meloni — 52.5%
• Elly Schlein — 18.0%
• Giuseppe Conte — 13.0%
• Roberto Vannacci — 9.2%
• Silvia Salis — 6.1%
• Mario Draghi — 2.8%
• Matteo Renzi — 1.2%
• Antonio Tajani — 0.7%
• Guido Crosetto — 0.4%
• Angelo Bonelli — 0.4%
• Matteo Salvini — 0.4%
• Carlo Calenda — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Meloni leads the "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" market, ahead of Schlein and Conte. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.