Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Current odds

• Alberto Núñez Feijóo — 80.5%
• Pedro Sánchez — 13.4%
• Isabel Díaz Ayuso — 3.0%
• Santiago Abascal — 2.0%
• Carlos Cuerpo — 0.5%
• Óscar Puente — 0.4%
• Aitor Esteban — 0.2%
• Carles Puigdemont — 0.2%
• Yolanda Díaz — 0.2%
• Ernest Urtasun — 0.2%
• Pepa Millán — 0.2%
• María Jesús Montero — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Feijóo leads the "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" market, ahead of Sánchez and Ayuso. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.