Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Current odds

• Rebeca Grynspan — 14.5%
• Michelle Bachelet — 8.8%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Grynspan leads the "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" market, ahead of Bachelet. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.