Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Current odds

• Shabana Mahmood — 82.9%
• Yvette Cooper — 9.8%
• Ed Miliband — 5.1%
• Pat McFadden — 1.9%
• Wes Streeting — 1.3%
• No next Chancellor in 2026 — 0.8%
• John Healey — 0.2%
• Darren Jones — 0.1%
• Torsten Bell — 0.1%
• Louise Haigh — 0.1%
• Miatta Fahnbulleh — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Mahmood leads the "Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?" market, ahead of Cooper and Miliband. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.