PredMart > Markets > Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Current odds

  • Andy Burnham — 93.2%
  • No Next PM in 2026 — 4.0%
  • Wes Streeting — 1.2%
  • Angela Rayner — 0.9%
  • Darren Jones — 0.9%
  • Yvette Cooper — 0.8%
  • Al Carns — 0.6%
  • Ed Miliband — 0.5%
  • Rupert Lowe — 0.4%
  • Nigel Farage — 0.3%
  • Kemi Badenoch — 0.3%
  • Shabana Mahmood — 0.3%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: Burnham leads the Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? market, ahead of No Next PM in 2026 and Streeting. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.

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