NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

Current odds

• 35-39 — 31.0%
• 45-49 — 21.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

About this market: 35-39 leads the "NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?" market, ahead of 45-49. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.