OpenAI IPO by...?

Current odds

• December 31, 2026 — 20.0%
• September 30, 2026 — 5.9%
• August 31, 2026 — 1.2%
• July 31, 2026 — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market: December 31, 2026 leads the "OpenAI IPO by...?" market, ahead of September 30, 2026 and August 31, 2026. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.