Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?

Current odds

• November 30 — 4.8%
• November 21 — 2.4%
• November 14 — 0.8%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market: November 30 leads the "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?" market, ahead of November 21 and November 14. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 4x.