Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Current odds

• 100mm+ — 99.9%
• 40-50mm — 0.3%
• <40mm — 0.1%
• 50-60mm — 0.1%
• 60-70mm — 0.1%
• 70-80mm — 0.1%
• 80-90mm — 0.1%
• 90-100mm — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in July, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

About this market: 100mm+ leads the "Precipitation in Seoul in July?" market, ahead of 40-50mm and <40mm. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.