Presidential Election Winner 2028

Current odds

• JD Vance — 18.4%
• Gavin Newsom — 16.1%
• Marco Rubio — 15.7%
• Jon Ossoff — 6.2%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 5.6%
• Kamala Harris — 5.1%
• Josh Shapiro — 2.9%
• Tucker Carlson — 2.6%
• Pete Buttigieg — 2.3%
• Ron DeSantis — 2.2%
• Donald Trump — 1.8%
• Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson — 1.7%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

About this market: Vance leads the Presidential Election Winner 2028 market, ahead of Newsom and Rubio. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.