Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Current odds

• Byron Donalds — 96.3%
• James Fishback — 3.5%
• Jay Collins — 0.7%
• Wilton Simpson — 0.1%
• Casey DeSantis — 0.1%
• Jimmy Patronis — 0.1%
• Matt Gaetz — 0.1%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

About this market: The Florida Governor Republican Primary determines who will succeed Ron DeSantis as the GOP nominee for governor in the August 18, 2026 election. Byron Donalds leads with Trump's endorsement against challengers including James Fishback and Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins. The winner will be heavily favored in November given Florida's Republican trajectory. read the full analysis