Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Current odds

• J.D. Vance — 38.1%
• Marco Rubio — 23.9%
• Tucker Carlson — 6.6%
• Ron DeSantis — 2.9%
• Donald Trump Jr. — 2.3%
• Donald Trump — 2.1%
• Glenn Youngkin — 1.4%
• Thomas Massie — 1.4%
• Vivek Ramaswamy — 1.3%
• Greg Abbott — 1.1%
• Ivanka Trump — 1.1%
• Rand Paul — 1.0%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market: Vance leads the Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 market, ahead of Rubio and Carlson. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.