Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Current odds

• Elon Musk — 94.9%
• Warren Buffett — 1.3%
• Sergey Brin — 0.8%
• Jensen Huang — 0.6%
• Larry Page — 0.6%
• Jeff Bezos — 0.5%
• Steve Ballmer — 0.5%
• Bernard Arnault — 0.4%
• Larry Ellison — 0.3%
• Mark Zuckerberg — 0.3%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

About this market: Musk leads the "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" market, ahead of Buffett and Brin. Trade any outcome with leverage up to 5x.