Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Current odds

• Elon Musk — 94.6%
• Warren Buffett — 1.0%
• Mark Zuckerberg — 0.3%
• Larry Ellison — 0.2%
• Bernard Arnault — 0.2%
• Jeff Bezos — 0.2%
• Jensen Huang — 0.2%
• Steve Ballmer — 0.2%
• Sergey Brin — 0.2%
• Larry Page — 0.2%

Prices are live implied probabilities from the order book and update continuously.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

About this market: Richest person on December 31, 2026? Traders price this tech market continuously, and the odds move as new information lands. Our analysis breaks down how the market is priced, what would have to change for it to move, and how to take a leveraged position on the outcome. read the full analysis